Archive for the 'Statistics' Category
The Year Is Half-Over. How Did The Housing Experts Fare On Their Predictions?
July 1st, 2010 categories: Statistics
As 2009 was ending, the “experts” were busy making forecasts about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2010.
With respect to the housing markets, two predictions were made again and again:
- Home prices would fall in the first half of 2010
- Mortgage rates would be higher in 2010
Well, it’s July 1 and the year is half-over. Both predictions are proving to be incorrect. Home values are rising in most markets and mortgage rates are down. Way down.
It reminds us that economists are much more skilled with analysis of the past versus predictions of the future.
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Relocate America’s Top 100 Places To Live..Knoxville TN Does It Again!! (2010 Edition)
May 12th, 2010 categories: Rankings, Statistics
Relocate To Knoxville TN BIG Orange Country!!
Once again just like we did in 2009 Knoxville TN was picked by Relocate America as one of the BEST Places to Live
Relocate America recently released its 2010 list of Top 100 Places To Live In America. The rankings are topped by some cities you may expect, and some you may not.
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Knoxville Home Resales Boom Into The End Of The Tax Credit And Around The Country
April 28th, 2010 categories: Buyers, Existing Home Sales, Home Values, Homebuyer Tax Credit, Market Trends, Pending Home Sales, Statistics
Existing Home Sales rose in March, as expected. U.S. home buyers closed on 7 percent more homes as compared to February.
Furthermore, versus March 2009 — a month many people equate to the low point of the U.S. economy — sales volume was up 16 percent.
“Existing home sale” is the technical term for a home resale; a home previously inhabited by a person. It’s the opposite of a “new home sale” which is a sale of a newly-constructed home.
Existing Homes Data is tracked by the National Association of Realtors® and a closer look at the March data reveals some other interesting notes:
- Year-over-year sales are higher for the 9th straight month
- Real estate investors represented 19 percent of all homes purchased
- First-time home buyers account for 44 percent of all buyers
Also worth noting is that the supply of available homes is down on a broader basis. At the current rate of sales, the existing home inventory will be exhausted in 8 months.
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Knoxville TN Pending Home Sales Soar In February
April 7th, 2010 categories: Buyers, Market Trends, Pending Home Sales, Sellers, Statistics
As Expected Buyers Are Out In Force In Knoxville TN and Other Areas Around The Country..
Home buyers have been out in force in Knoxville and other areas around the country taking advantage of the tax credit and low interest rates.
As expected, the Knoxville TN Pending Home Sales shot higher in February, boosted by the federal home buyer tax credit’s April 30 deadline.
Versus the month prior, February’s index rose 8 percent but remains well off the highs set last October.
For today’s home buyers and seller, the Pending Home Sales Index is an important measurement. This is because a “pending home” is a property that is under contract to sell, but not yet closed.
According to the National Association of Realtors®, 80% of homes under contract close within 60 days, historically. Therefore, a higher Pending Sales figure in February projects that April’s Existing Home Sales will be higher, too.
If you’re a Knoxville home buyer today, no doubt you’ve noticed the extra market activity.
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A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 16, 2010 Edition)
March 16th, 2010 categories: FOMC, FOMC Minutes, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates, Statistics
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged, in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy “has continued to strengthen” and that the jobs markets “is stabilizing”. It also said that business spending has “has risen significantly”.
This is a slight departure from the Fed’s January statement in which housing was not mentioned and business spending was said to be “picking up”.
It’s also the sixth straight statement from the FOMC in which the Fed described the economy with optimism. This is a signal to markets that 2008-2009 recession is over and that economic growth is returning.
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A Rate-Locking Strategy For Today’s Fed Meeting
March 16th, 2010 categories: FOMC, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates, Statistics
The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from a scheduled 1-day meeting today, its second of the year.
The FOMC has held the Fed Funds Rate in a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent since December 16, 2008, and the voting members of the Fed are expected to vote “no change” again today.
However, no change in the Fed Funds Rate doesn’t necessarily mean no change in mortgage rates. This is because the Fed Funds Rate is a different interest rate from the rates Knoxville home buyers get from a loan officer.
- Fed Funds Rate : Short-term rate at which banks borrow from each other
- Mortgage Rate : Long-term rate of interest a homeowner pays on a mortgage
Mortgage rates are more responsive to what the Fed says as compared to what the Fed does.
After each FOMC meeting, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co issue a formal press release to the markets. At roughly 400 words, the statement is a brief commentary on the strengths, weaknesses, and threats for the U.S. economy.
Wall Street watches the statement with great interest and this is why mortgage rates are often volatile on the days of an FOMC adjournment. One mention of a word like “inflation” and traders rush to dump their mortgage bond positions.
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Foreclosures Per Capita | February 2010
March 11th, 2010 categories: Buyers, Foreclosures, Knoxville Short Sales, Market Trends, Real Estate Investing, Statistics
According to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings topped 300,000 for the 12th straight month last month as 1 in every 418 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing.
It’s a small improvement from January and a just 6 percent increase over February 2009.
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Tying Friday’s Jobs Report To Rising Mortgage Rates
March 4th, 2010 categories: Jobs, Mortgage Rates, Statistics
Conforming and FHA mortgage rates in Tennessee have improved over the last 10 days, but that could all change this Friday with the release of February’s Non-Farm Payrolls report.
Non-Farm Payrolls is the official name of the government’s monthly jobs report and, given the fragile state of the U.S. economy, Wall Street will be watching it closely.
Mortgage rates could spike come Friday morning.
Jobs are an important part of the nation’s recovery. Among other concerns, unemployed Americans don’t spend as much money on goods and services, and are more likely to default on a mortgage. This retards economic growth and increases the potential for foreclosures.
When jobs numbers worsen, therefore, it follows that economic projections worsen, too.
Poor employment figures draw money away from the stock markets and into less-risky bond markets, including mortgage-backed bonds. Mortgage rates improve as a result. Conversely, when jobs numbers improve, stock markets gain and bond markets worsen.
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As The Supply Of New Knoxville Homes Grows, So Does The Opportunity For A “Good Deal”
February 25th, 2010 categories: Existing Home Sales, Home Price Index, Housing Starts, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Sellers, Statistics
Knoxville New Home Buyers Don’t Miss Your Best Buying Opportunity Ever
The housing recovery showed particular weakness in the Knoxville New Homes Sales category last month — good news for Knoxville TN homebuyers in in the Knoxville Real Estate Market and around the country.
A “new home” is a home for which there’s no previous owner.
New Home Sales fell 11 percent from the month prior and posted the fewest units sold in a month since 1963 — the year the government first started tracking New Home Sales data.
Right now, there are roughly 234,000 new homes for sale nationwide and, at the current sales pace, it would take 9.1 months to sell them all. This is nearly 2 months longer than at October 2009’s pace.
The reasons for the spike in supply are varied:
- The original home buyer tax credit expired in November
- Weather conditions were awful in most of the country in January
- Weak employment and consumer confidence continue to hinder big ticket sales
Now, these might be less-than-optimal developments for the economy as a whole, but for buyers of new homes, it’s a welcome turn of events. Home prices are based on supply and demand, after all.
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December 2009 Case-Shiller Data Shows Battered Markets In Bona Fide Recovery
February 24th, 2010 categories: Buyers, Case-Shiller Index, General, Market Trends, Sellers, Statistics
Using data compiled in December, Standard & Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday. The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.
According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is “in better shape than it was this time last year”, but some of the summer’s momentum has been lost. 15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.
Meanwhile, it’s interesting to note the 5 markets that didn’t decline — Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego. Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke. Now, they’re leading the pack in price recovery.
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