The Fed’s June Minutes Keep Mortgage Rates In Rally-Mode
July 16th, 2010 categories: FOMC
According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates made new all-time lows this week and the good news is that rates look poised to fall even more.
Since the Federal Reserve’s release of its June 2010 meeting minutes Wednesday, mortgage rates are dipping even more and one of the main reasons why is because of some choice Fed words.
If you’ve never seen a Fed Minutes release, it reads academic. The document is page after page of stats, facts and figures about the U.S. economy, accompanied by an in-depth recap of the intra-Fed member debates that shape the nation’s monetary policy.
At 7,333 words, the June Fed Minutes is the unabridged version of the more well-known, post-meeting press release. The corresponding press release was just 360 words.
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A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (June 23, 2010 Edition)
June 24th, 2010 categories: FOMC
Today, in its first meeting in 5 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged.
The Fed Fund Rate remains within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
In its press release, the FOMC said that, since April, “the economic recovery is proceeding” and that the jobs market “is improving gradually”. Business spending “has risen significantly”, too, with the exception of commercial real estate.
Today’s statement is the 8th straight press release in which the Fed shows optimism for the U.S. economy, dating back to June 2009. Since that time, the Fed has terminated all of the programs it created to support the economy through the economic crisis.
The recession is widely believed to be over.
And, although the Fed’s statement acknowledged economic growth, it did highlight lingering threats, too.
- Employers are still reluctant to hire new workers
- European debt concerns could spill-over to the U.S.
- Bank lending is contracting
Also, as expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period”, citing that “inflation has trended lower” recently.
Mortgage market reaction has been positive thus far. Mortgage rates in Tennessee are slightly improved post-FOMC.
The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is August 10, 2010.
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Making A Mortgage Rate Strategy Ahead Of The Fed’s Meeting This Week
June 22nd, 2010 categories: FOMC
The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day meeting today, its fourth scheduled meeting of the year, and fifth overall.
The FOMC is the monetary policy-setting part of the government and its primary tool for that purpose is the Fed Funds Rate.
The Fed Funds Rate is the dictated rate at which banks borrow money from each other and, since December 16, 2008, the Federal Reserve has voted to keep the benchmark rate within a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
This is the lowest Fed Funds Rate in history. A rate near zero-point-zero percent renders borrowing by business and consumers cheap which, in turn, promotes investment and growth.
There’s no expectation for the Fed to change the Fed Funds Rate after it adjourns tomorrow, but that doesn’t mean consumers in Maryville should expect mortgage rates to remain unchanged, too.
To the contrary, mortgage rates tend to be volatile when the FOMC is meeting. This is because the FOMC issues a press release after each meeting and in that press release, it comments on the economy’s unique threats, strengths and weaknesses.
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The Fed Adjourns From A 2-Day Meeting Today And What It Means For Mortgage Rates
April 28th, 2010 categories: FOMC, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates
The Federal Reserve adjourns from a scheduled, 2-day meeting today. It’s one of 8 scheduled Fed meetings for 2010.
Upon adjournment, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co. will release a formal statement to the market. In it, the Fed is expected to announce “no change” in the Fed Funds Rate.
The Fed Funds Rate is currently in a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
The Fed Funds Rate is an inter-bank lending rate. It’s also the basis for Prime Rate, a consumer interest rate on which credit card payments are based, among other consumer loans. Prime Rate is equal to the Fed Funds Rate + 3 percent. Credit card rates, therefore, will likely stay flat today, too.
Mortgage rates, however, should change. Possibly by a lot. The 30-year fixed mortgage does not correlate with the Fed Funds Rate (as shown in the chart at right).
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Just What Is The Federal Reserve Doing?? Here Is A Simple Explanation After Their Meeting (April 28,2010 Edition)
April 27th, 2010 categories: FOMC, FOMC Minutes, Housing Starts, Market Trends, Mortgage Guidelines
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
In its press release, the FOMC noted that, since March, the U.S. economy “has continued to strengthen” and that the jobs markets “is beginning to improve”. This is a step up from the last meeting after which the Fed said jobs were “stabilizing”.
It also reiterated that business spending “has risen significantly”.
Today’s statement marks the 7th straight press release in which the Fed shows optimism for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, the Fed has now closed all but one of the programs it created to support markets during last year’s financial crisis.
Threats remain to growth, however. The Fed fingered a few:
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A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 16, 2010 Edition)
March 16th, 2010 categories: FOMC, FOMC Minutes, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates, Statistics
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged, in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy “has continued to strengthen” and that the jobs markets “is stabilizing”. It also said that business spending has “has risen significantly”.
This is a slight departure from the Fed’s January statement in which housing was not mentioned and business spending was said to be “picking up”.
It’s also the sixth straight statement from the FOMC in which the Fed described the economy with optimism. This is a signal to markets that 2008-2009 recession is over and that economic growth is returning.
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A Rate-Locking Strategy For Today’s Fed Meeting
March 16th, 2010 categories: FOMC, Market Trends, Mortgage Rates, Statistics
The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from a scheduled 1-day meeting today, its second of the year.
The FOMC has held the Fed Funds Rate in a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent since December 16, 2008, and the voting members of the Fed are expected to vote “no change” again today.
However, no change in the Fed Funds Rate doesn’t necessarily mean no change in mortgage rates. This is because the Fed Funds Rate is a different interest rate from the rates Knoxville home buyers get from a loan officer.
- Fed Funds Rate : Short-term rate at which banks borrow from each other
- Mortgage Rate : Long-term rate of interest a homeowner pays on a mortgage
Mortgage rates are more responsive to what the Fed says as compared to what the Fed does.
After each FOMC meeting, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co issue a formal press release to the markets. At roughly 400 words, the statement is a brief commentary on the strengths, weaknesses, and threats for the U.S. economy.
Wall Street watches the statement with great interest and this is why mortgage rates are often volatile on the days of an FOMC adjournment. One mention of a word like “inflation” and traders rush to dump their mortgage bond positions.
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Knoxville Home Buyers Now Is The Time To Buy!!!
February 18th, 2010 categories: Buyers, FOMC Minutes, General, Home How To, Market Trends
Looks Like Those Low Interest Rates Are Heading North…..
Mortgage markets reeled Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its January 26-27, 2010 meeting. Mortgage rates in Tennessee are now at their highest levels since the start of the year.
The Fed Minutes is a follow-up document, delivered 3 weeks after an official FOMC meeting. It’s a companion piece to the post-meeting press release, detailing the debates and discussions that shaped our central bankers’ policy decisions.
The Minutes is a terrific look into the Fed’s collective mind and, yesterday, Wall Street didn’t like what it saw. Specifically, the report disclosed that:
- The Fed plans to break support for mortgage markets after March 31, 2010
- Raising the Fed Funds Rate will be a key part of the Fed’s strategy to tighten monetary policy
- The fundamentals behind consumer spending strengthened modestly
Furthermore, the Fed Minutes said that there is a growing risk of “higher medium-term inflation”. Inflation, of course, is awful for mortgage rates.
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