A real estate trade group reported Tuesday that Pending Home Sales ticked higher in December 2008. A “pending home sale” is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.
The group positions Pending Home Sales report as a predictor of future activity, suggesting that home sales will spike 60 days hence.
This is good news for the economy.
However, despite the Pending Home Sales report’s correlation to the actual number of homes sold in the future, that connection may not be the report’s best use. This is because of what Pending Homes Sales doesn’t measure.
Specifically not included in Pending Homes Sales are:
And, lastly, it should be noted that Pending Home Sales tracks contracts — not closings — and until a home is sold and closed, nothing has really happened in the economy. That’s especially relevant in a market like this in which finding financing isn’t always so easy.
Pending Home Sales still has its place, though, because it’s a terrific look at the current buy-side demand for homes. Clearly, low mortgage rates and falling home prices are making an impact and this is why the December’s Pending Home Sales report is so important. It’s the third housing report this month that shows the demand for homes rising while the supply of homes falls.
The other two reports:
This is good news for home sellers and for the economy. If housing is expected to lead the U.S. out of recession, the seeds for that recovery may have already been planted.
The activity for people looking for homes has increased dramatically to what it was back in December. So if you are thinking about selling now would be a good time to consider getting your home on the market.
Just make sure you price it correctly and have ready to show. I will be happy to work with you in getting your how ready for the market place. Just give me a call at 865-696-9002 or email [email protected]
(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal)